| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.37 | 69.5% | 60.00 | 29.6% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.79 | 67.6% | 60.00 | 31.5% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.50 | 65.6% | 60.00 | 33.4% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.57 | 63.4% | 60.00 | 35.5% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.07 | 61.2% | 60.00 | 37.7% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.07 | 58.8% | 60.00 | 40.0% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.70 | 56.2% | 60.00 | 42.5% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.10 | 53.5% | 60.00 | 45.1% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 118.46 | 50.6% | 60.00 | 47.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →