| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 48.28 | 53.2% | 25.70 | 53.8% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.97 | 52.2% | 17.22 | 52.6% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.98 | 51.1% | 29.62 | 51.8% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.88 | 48.8% | 60.00 | 50.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.11 | 52.3% | 15.24 | 47.3% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 36.84 | 47.6% | 17.52 | 48.0% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 113.93 | 51.5% | 58.65 | 47.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →