| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 84.38 | 71.1% | 60.00 | 72.0% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.56 | 69.3% | 60.00 | 70.2% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.00 | 67.4% | 60.00 | 68.4% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.74 | 65.4% | 60.00 | 66.4% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 74.47 | 63.5% | 47.29 | 64.4% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 70.45 | 61.8% | 43.54 | 62.6% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.39 | 59.8% | 60.00 | 61.0% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.75 | 57.3% | 60.00 | 58.6% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.03 | 54.7% | 57.98 | 56.0% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.66 | 52.0% | 56.01 | 53.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →