| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.04 | 56.8% | 49.46 | 57.9% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.49 | 54.4% | 57.97 | 55.8% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.45 | 46.4% | 19.22 | 53.1% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.98 | 45.4% | 14.99 | 54.1% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 7.95 | 54.9% | 4.36 | 55.0% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.23 | 53.6% | 49.98 | 54.8% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 20.87 | 52.2% | 10.89 | 52.4% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 13.58 | 51.8% | 7.03 | 51.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →