| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.63 | 66.2% | 60.00 | 32.8% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.58 | 64.1% | 60.00 | 34.8% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.94 | 61.9% | 60.00 | 37.0% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.78 | 59.5% | 60.00 | 39.3% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.20 | 57.0% | 60.00 | 41.7% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.35 | 54.4% | 60.00 | 44.3% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 116.39 | 51.6% | 60.00 | 47.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →