| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.95 | 63.2% | 60.00 | 64.3% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.50 | 60.9% | 60.00 | 62.1% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.57 | 58.5% | 60.00 | 59.7% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.28 | 55.9% | 60.00 | 57.2% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.78 | 53.2% | 60.00 | 54.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →