| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.19 | 45.2% | 8.68 | 54.5% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 10.79 | 54.9% | 5.92 | 55.0% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.48 | 53.3% | 60.00 | 54.7% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.92 | 50.5% | 60.00 | 51.9% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 50.31 | 48.3% | 24.32 | 49.0% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.34 | 51.7% | 22.94 | 47.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →