| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 31.95 | 56.7% | 18.13 | 57.1% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 51.75 | 55.7% | 28.83 | 56.4% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.22 | 54.6% | 22.49 | 55.1% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 37.57 | 53.6% | 20.13 | 54.1% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.29 | 52.3% | 34.15 | 53.1% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.93 | 50.8% | 29.91 | 51.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →