| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.21 | 65.8% | 60.00 | 33.2% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.24 | 63.7% | 60.00 | 35.2% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.15 | 61.5% | 57.26 | 37.4% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.45 | 59.1% | 60.00 | 39.6% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.11 | 57.3% | 29.28 | 42.1% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.57 | 55.7% | 45.40 | 43.3% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.67 | 53.3% | 60.00 | 45.3% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 119.15 | 50.4% | 60.00 | 48.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →