| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.22 | 64.4% | 60.00 | 65.4% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.33 | 62.3% | 51.93 | 63.3% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.76 | 60.1% | 60.00 | 61.3% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.03 | 57.7% | 60.00 | 58.9% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.98 | 55.1% | 60.00 | 56.4% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.71 | 52.4% | 53.85 | 53.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →