| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.05 | 86.4% | 37.21 | 13.3% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.95 | 85.9% | 33.48 | 13.8% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.36 | 85.3% | 60.00 | 14.3% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.18 | 84.4% | 57.53 | 15.2% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.57 | 83.7% | 33.94 | 16.1% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.79 | 83.0% | 42.99 | 16.6% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.61 | 82.2% | 47.37 | 17.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →