| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.06 | 46.3% | 12.99 | 46.6% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 23.50 | 45.7% | 10.73 | 45.9% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 9.13 | 54.5% | 4.98 | 45.4% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.54 | 53.2% | 49.81 | 45.6% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.11 | 51.1% | 38.92 | 47.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →