| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.88 | 62.6% | 60.00 | 63.7% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.57 | 60.3% | 60.00 | 61.4% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.80 | 57.8% | 60.00 | 59.1% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.71 | 55.2% | 60.00 | 56.5% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 114.46 | 52.4% | 60.00 | 53.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →