| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.11 | 66.2% | 27.89 | 33.3% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.23 | 64.9% | 48.83 | 34.2% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.29 | 63.1% | 51.92 | 35.9% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.41 | 61.0% | 60.00 | 37.9% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.50 | 59.2% | 31.06 | 40.2% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.81 | 57.2% | 60.00 | 41.5% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.89 | 54.6% | 60.00 | 44.0% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 115.85 | 51.8% | 60.00 | 46.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →