| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.67 | 51.3% | 46.53 | 47.5% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.30 | 49.6% | 23.46 | 49.8% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.76 | 48.7% | 12.54 | 51.0% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.47 | 47.9% | 16.52 | 51.6% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 18.02 | 47.3% | 8.52 | 52.5% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 77.07 | 52.0% | 40.07 | 52.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →