| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.36 | 45.6% | 11.56 | 54.1% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 62.52 | 54.0% | 33.74 | 54.7% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 44.94 | 52.6% | 23.65 | 53.2% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 13.30 | 51.9% | 6.90 | 52.1% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 60.40 | 51.0% | 30.79 | 51.7% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 37.99 | 49.7% | 18.90 | 50.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →