| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 118.24 | 50.7% | 60.00 | 47.8% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.83 | 48.3% | 36.64 | 50.7% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 15.39 | 52.4% | 8.07 | 52.6% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 34.45 | 51.8% | 17.85 | 52.2% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.06 | 47.8% | 32.98 | 51.4% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 17.04 | 52.9% | 9.01 | 53.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →