| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.10 | 66.6% | 60.00 | 67.6% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.98 | 64.5% | 60.00 | 65.6% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.25 | 62.3% | 60.00 | 63.5% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.99 | 60.0% | 60.00 | 61.2% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.29 | 57.5% | 60.00 | 58.8% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.28 | 54.9% | 60.00 | 56.3% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.13 | 52.1% | 60.00 | 53.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →