| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.56 | 66.3% | 60.00 | 67.3% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.50 | 64.2% | 60.00 | 65.2% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.85 | 62.0% | 60.00 | 63.1% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.67 | 59.6% | 60.00 | 60.8% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.08 | 57.1% | 60.00 | 58.4% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 110.20 | 54.4% | 60.00 | 55.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →