| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.28 | 55.1% | 35.43 | 44.1% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 19.41 | 45.4% | 8.82 | 45.7% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.44 | 53.5% | 54.31 | 45.2% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 118.10 | 50.8% | 60.00 | 47.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →