| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 182.16 | 32.9% | 60.00 | 35.0% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 208.47 | 28.8% | 60.00 | 30.9% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 246.27 | 24.4% | 60.00 | 26.7% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 305.15 | 19.7% | 60.00 | 22.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →