| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.32 | 83.0% | 60.00 | 16.5% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.81 | 82.0% | 45.78 | 17.6% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.88 | 81.3% | 30.81 | 18.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 56.80 | 18.5% | 10.52 | 19.0% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.56 | 81.5% | 38.78 | 18.1% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.68 | 80.8% | 43.36 | 18.8% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.18 | 79.9% | 40.92 | 19.6% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.89 | 79.3% | 24.49 | 20.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →