| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.34 | 61.0% | 60.00 | 62.2% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.38 | 58.6% | 60.00 | 59.8% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.84 | 56.2% | 52.74 | 57.4% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.82 | 53.7% | 60.00 | 55.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →