| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.13 | 65.7% | 59.17 | 33.3% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.42 | 63.5% | 60.00 | 35.4% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.90 | 61.3% | 60.00 | 37.6% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.47 | 59.4% | 36.50 | 39.9% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 62.33 | 57.9% | 36.08 | 41.4% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.17 | 56.7% | 19.94 | 42.9% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.15 | 55.1% | 53.49 | 43.7% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.44 | 52.4% | 60.00 | 46.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →