| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.43 | 74.6% | 60.00 | 24.6% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.16 | 73.0% | 60.00 | 26.2% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.61 | 71.6% | 42.69 | 27.8% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.58 | 70.1% | 60.00 | 29.0% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.89 | 68.3% | 60.00 | 30.8% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.50 | 66.3% | 60.00 | 32.7% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.43 | 64.2% | 60.00 | 34.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →