| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.05 | 71.4% | 60.00 | 27.8% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.18 | 69.6% | 60.00 | 29.5% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.57 | 67.7% | 60.00 | 31.3% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.26 | 65.7% | 60.00 | 33.2% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.30 | 63.6% | 60.00 | 35.3% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.76 | 61.4% | 60.00 | 37.5% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.72 | 59.0% | 60.00 | 39.8% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.29 | 56.4% | 60.00 | 42.2% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 111.62 | 53.8% | 60.00 | 44.9% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 117.89 | 50.9% | 60.00 | 47.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →