| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 70.27 | 65.3% | 45.89 | 66.1% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.94 | 64.2% | 19.85 | 64.5% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.73 | 62.7% | 60.00 | 63.8% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 36.91 | 61.1% | 22.56 | 61.6% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 34.50 | 60.3% | 20.79 | 60.7% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.36 | 58.6% | 60.00 | 59.9% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.04 | 56.1% | 60.00 | 57.4% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.50 | 53.3% | 60.00 | 54.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →