| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.23 | 34.1% | 9.98 | 65.5% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.77 | 65.7% | 26.80 | 66.2% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 44.39 | 64.8% | 28.75 | 65.3% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.00 | 63.2% | 60.00 | 64.3% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 44.68 | 61.5% | 27.49 | 62.0% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 26.60 | 60.7% | 16.14 | 61.0% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 16.79 | 60.2% | 10.10 | 60.4% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 68.87 | 59.1% | 40.72 | 60.0% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 9.25 | 58.2% | 5.38 | 58.3% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 19.42 | 57.8% | 11.23 | 58.1% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.61 | 56.3% | 60.00 | 57.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 81.89 | 54.0% | 44.18 | 55.0% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.05 | 52.4% | 20.48 | 52.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →