| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.70 | 63.4% | 60.00 | 35.5% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.21 | 61.1% | 60.00 | 37.7% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.09 | 59.4% | 23.83 | 40.1% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.00 | 57.7% | 60.00 | 41.0% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.95 | 55.1% | 60.00 | 43.6% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.69 | 52.3% | 57.94 | 46.3% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 121.34 | 49.4% | 60.00 | 49.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →