| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.51 | 71.0% | 60.00 | 28.1% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.70 | 69.2% | 60.00 | 29.9% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.16 | 67.3% | 60.00 | 31.7% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.11 | 65.7% | 34.90 | 33.7% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.69 | 64.0% | 60.00 | 34.9% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.06 | 61.8% | 60.00 | 37.0% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.91 | 59.5% | 60.00 | 39.3% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.75 | 57.1% | 55.20 | 41.8% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.08 | 54.5% | 60.00 | 44.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →