| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.85 | 66.0% | 60.00 | 67.1% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 19.88 | 64.8% | 12.88 | 65.0% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.51 | 64.1% | 24.69 | 64.6% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.91 | 62.6% | 60.00 | 63.7% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 61.85 | 60.7% | 37.54 | 61.4% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.18 | 58.7% | 60.00 | 60.0% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.82 | 56.2% | 60.00 | 57.5% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.24 | 53.5% | 60.00 | 54.9% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.63 | 50.6% | 60.00 | 52.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →