| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.53 | 51.6% | 58.03 | 53.0% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.51 | 49.3% | 21.45 | 50.2% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.07 | 48.2% | 21.72 | 51.2% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.54 | 51.1% | 52.39 | 52.4% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 124.33 | 48.3% | 60.00 | 49.8% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 12.10 | 53.1% | 6.43 | 46.7% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 14.13 | 52.8% | 7.46 | 47.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →