| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 76.78 | 78.1% | 60.00 | 78.8% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 78.13 | 76.8% | 60.00 | 77.5% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 79.62 | 75.4% | 60.00 | 76.1% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 81.26 | 73.8% | 60.00 | 74.6% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.08 | 72.2% | 60.00 | 73.0% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.11 | 70.5% | 60.00 | 71.4% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 61.69 | 69.0% | 42.54 | 69.6% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.13 | 67.3% | 60.00 | 68.3% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.89 | 65.3% | 60.00 | 66.3% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.02 | 63.1% | 60.00 | 64.2% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.58 | 60.9% | 60.00 | 62.0% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.66 | 58.4% | 60.00 | 59.7% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.38 | 55.9% | 60.00 | 57.2% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.90 | 53.1% | 60.00 | 54.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →