| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.68 | 67.7% | 60.00 | 68.6% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.39 | 65.7% | 60.00 | 66.7% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.44 | 63.5% | 60.00 | 64.6% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.92 | 61.3% | 60.00 | 62.4% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.90 | 58.9% | 60.00 | 60.1% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.50 | 56.3% | 60.00 | 57.6% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.87 | 53.6% | 60.00 | 55.0% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.19 | 50.8% | 60.00 | 52.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →