| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 16.33 | 64.5% | 10.53 | 64.7% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 22.39 | 64.1% | 14.34 | 64.3% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.72 | 62.7% | 60.00 | 63.8% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.04 | 60.4% | 56.24 | 61.6% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 22.69 | 59.1% | 13.40 | 59.3% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.22 | 57.9% | 40.11 | 58.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.76 | 56.0% | 50.26 | 57.1% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.59 | 53.8% | 47.12 | 54.9% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.42 | 51.5% | 49.66 | 52.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →