| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.95 | 65.3% | 60.00 | 66.3% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.08 | 63.1% | 60.00 | 64.2% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 64.30 | 61.2% | 39.37 | 62.0% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.27 | 59.2% | 60.00 | 60.5% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.77 | 56.7% | 60.00 | 58.0% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.01 | 54.0% | 60.00 | 55.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →