| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.54 | 70.1% | 60.00 | 29.0% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.85 | 68.3% | 60.00 | 30.8% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.45 | 66.3% | 60.00 | 32.7% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.38 | 64.3% | 60.00 | 34.7% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.70 | 62.0% | 60.00 | 36.8% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.51 | 59.7% | 60.00 | 39.1% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.89 | 57.2% | 60.00 | 41.5% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.98 | 54.6% | 60.00 | 44.1% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 115.95 | 51.7% | 60.00 | 46.8% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 123.05 | 48.8% | 60.00 | 49.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →