| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.05 | 65.2% | 60.00 | 33.8% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.20 | 63.0% | 60.00 | 35.9% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.79 | 60.7% | 60.00 | 38.1% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.90 | 58.3% | 60.00 | 40.4% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.66 | 55.7% | 60.00 | 42.9% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 113.23 | 53.0% | 60.00 | 45.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 119.80 | 50.1% | 60.00 | 48.4% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 127.68 | 47.0% | 60.00 | 51.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →