| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.44 | 81.7% | 19.16 | 18.1% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.23 | 81.3% | 33.50 | 18.4% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.67 | 80.4% | 60.00 | 19.1% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.94 | 79.5% | 23.81 | 20.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →