| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.33 | 63.6% | 60.00 | 35.3% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.79 | 61.4% | 60.00 | 37.5% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.75 | 59.0% | 60.00 | 39.8% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.33 | 56.4% | 60.00 | 42.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →