| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.81 | 84.6% | 54.80 | 15.0% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.74 | 83.6% | 60.00 | 15.9% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.46 | 82.7% | 45.89 | 16.9% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.34 | 81.8% | 60.00 | 17.6% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.36 | 80.7% | 60.00 | 18.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →