| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.84 | 73.3% | 60.00 | 25.9% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.72 | 71.7% | 60.00 | 27.5% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.82 | 69.9% | 60.00 | 29.2% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.17 | 68.1% | 60.00 | 31.0% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.80 | 66.1% | 60.00 | 32.9% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.78 | 64.0% | 60.00 | 34.9% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.17 | 61.7% | 60.00 | 37.1% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.04 | 59.4% | 60.00 | 39.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.50 | 56.9% | 60.00 | 41.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.70 | 54.2% | 60.00 | 44.4% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 116.80 | 51.4% | 60.00 | 47.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →