| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 72.26 | 69.9% | 50.53 | 70.7% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.96 | 68.2% | 60.00 | 69.2% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.57 | 66.2% | 60.00 | 67.3% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.52 | 64.2% | 60.00 | 65.2% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.87 | 61.9% | 60.00 | 63.1% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.69 | 59.6% | 60.00 | 60.8% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.10 | 57.1% | 60.00 | 58.4% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 110.23 | 54.4% | 60.00 | 55.8% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 116.25 | 51.6% | 60.00 | 53.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →