| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.29 | 68.0% | 60.00 | 31.1% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.94 | 66.0% | 60.00 | 33.0% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.94 | 63.9% | 60.00 | 35.1% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.35 | 61.6% | 60.00 | 37.2% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.25 | 59.3% | 60.00 | 39.5% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.74 | 56.7% | 60.00 | 42.0% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.98 | 54.1% | 60.00 | 44.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →