| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.88 | 61.2% | 42.77 | 62.0% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.00 | 59.6% | 38.74 | 60.4% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 8.89 | 58.7% | 5.22 | 58.8% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.46 | 57.6% | 47.49 | 58.6% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.83 | 56.2% | 16.77 | 56.6% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 62.40 | 55.1% | 34.37 | 55.8% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.69 | 53.0% | 56.52 | 54.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →