| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.47 | 67.8% | 60.00 | 68.8% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 33.50 | 66.5% | 22.27 | 66.9% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 50.28 | 65.5% | 32.95 | 66.1% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.91 | 63.9% | 60.00 | 65.0% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 34.58 | 62.4% | 21.58 | 62.8% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.83 | 60.9% | 55.33 | 62.0% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.40 | 58.6% | 60.00 | 59.8% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.09 | 56.0% | 60.00 | 57.3% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 84.27 | 53.7% | 45.22 | 54.7% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 117.31 | 51.1% | 60.00 | 52.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →