| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.47 | 73.4% | 20.89 | 73.6% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 80.96 | 72.3% | 58.52 | 73.1% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 78.94 | 70.7% | 55.77 | 71.5% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.08 | 68.9% | 60.00 | 69.8% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 61.04 | 67.3% | 41.08 | 68.0% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.47 | 65.6% | 60.00 | 66.6% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 63.66 | 63.8% | 40.63 | 64.6% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.85 | 62.0% | 60.00 | 63.1% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.68 | 59.6% | 60.00 | 60.8% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.08 | 57.1% | 60.00 | 58.4% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.12 | 54.7% | 47.68 | 55.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →