| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 16.39 | 58.3% | 9.55 | 58.5% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.66 | 56.9% | 53.87 | 58.1% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 44.37 | 55.2% | 24.49 | 55.7% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.67 | 53.3% | 60.00 | 54.7% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.29 | 50.7% | 48.27 | 51.8% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 44.70 | 48.9% | 21.86 | 49.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →