| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.28 | 72.9% | 60.00 | 26.3% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.21 | 71.2% | 60.00 | 27.9% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.37 | 69.5% | 60.00 | 29.6% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.78 | 67.6% | 60.00 | 31.4% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.53 | 65.6% | 57.44 | 33.4% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.42 | 63.5% | 60.00 | 35.4% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.90 | 61.3% | 60.00 | 37.6% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.88 | 58.9% | 60.00 | 39.9% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.48 | 56.4% | 60.00 | 42.3% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 111.84 | 53.6% | 60.00 | 45.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →