| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 min ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.45 | 70.4% | 46.07 | 71.1% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 72.12 | 68.9% | 49.72 | 69.7% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.31 | 67.2% | 60.00 | 68.2% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.09 | 65.2% | 60.00 | 66.2% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.24 | 63.0% | 60.00 | 64.1% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.83 | 60.7% | 60.00 | 61.9% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.46 | 58.4% | 53.43 | 59.5% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.68 | 56.3% | 46.54 | 57.3% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.34 | 53.9% | 60.00 | 55.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →